World Cup 2022 – How stages will differ
The first World Cup I traded on Betfair was back in 2006. This will be my fifth, there was one more in Betfair’s history back in 2002, but I don’t have enough data from that tournament. However, excluding odds data, we can use more general statistics to look for trends. Let’s start with an important…
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World Cup – Tournament markets
It’s not long before we are treated to the unusual spectacle of a winter World Cup. World cups are the most prominent football markets in terms of volume and liquidity on the exchange. It’s not uncommon for tens of millions to be matched over a match, which brings into play several betting and trading strategies…
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Being lucky…
I’m often told that I’m lucky. You are lucky that you can do this, you are lucky that you have that, it’s lucky that this happened and so on. But the fact is, underlying all elements of luck are two essential characteristics, belief and perseverance. Belief Some people are given a good start in life,…
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Why I’ve kept motivated for so long
When I opened my Betfair account in June 2000, I was hopeful that I would make a little bit of spare cash. I initially was doing some arbitrage betting, which brought it some ‘pocket money’. But while messing around with that, I figured out you could trade and rest, as they say, is history! My…
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How to turn a losing betting strategy into a winning one
Wouldn’t it be great if you could take a losing betting strategy and miraculously turn it into a winning one? Well, that’s exactly what we’re going to do. We will take a strategy that only has a 25% win rate into a strategy that wins 95% of the time. We will do this by taking…
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The BEST pre-season EVER
Life can be funny sometimes. Being high profile, I interact with many people from all different corners of the industry. It’s a broad spectrum, from ordinary punters, through customers of Bet Angel all the way up to the board level of betting companies. Over time I’m been lucky enough to see many Bet Angel customers…
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Where Angels fear to tread
I’ve learnt over time that whether it’s short-term trading on Betfair or long-term investing in financial markets, being a contrarian seems to be a very effective strategy. Why does contrarian behaviour work? Over the years, I’ve spent a lot of time looking at psychology and its impact on decision-making, and it’s proved a fascinating subject. I’ve immersed…
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Using Profit Graphs to Trade Tennis
When I was learning to trade Tennis, I wasn’t sure what I should be doing, when I should be getting in or out of a match, or where the critical points were. So I invented a way to interpret what I saw, which I still do in tennis matches. It allows me to trade them…
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Betfair trading – Little and often soon adds up
This is a phrase I’ll often quote when advising people on how to trade. Your real objective when trading It’s really nice to bang in some massive results now and again, but generally, that’s not what trading is about. Most of the time I’m in a market I’m just looking for an opportunity. Something I recognise…
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Top five tips for winning on the Grand National
It’s the Grand National and it’s one of the most famous horse races of the year it’s the race that everybody has a bet on, but very few will win. Here are five top tips on how to win on the grand national this year: – Place a bet that will win more if you…
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